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The Thesis
When GEICO was near bankruptcy and its stock had fallen 95%, Buffett recognized the company's low-cost direct insurance model was still fundamentally sound and began aggressively buying.
The Story
Warren Buffett's love affair with GEICO began in 1951, when as a 20-year-old Columbia student he visited the company's offices on a Saturday and spent four hours learning the business from future CEO Lorimer Davidson. He invested $10,282 — most of his net worth — and made a 50% return in a year. But the truly legendary trade came 25 years later. By 1976, GEICO was on the verge of bankruptcy due to poor underwriting and rapid expansion. The stock had crashed from $61 to $2. Most investors had written it off completely.
Buffett saw that GEICO's fundamental advantage — selling insurance directly to consumers at lower cost than agent-based competitors — was still intact. The problem was management, not the business model. He began buying aggressively, eventually accumulating a major stake. Over the following two decades, as GEICO recovered and thrived under better management, Berkshire's investment multiplied many times over. In 1996, Buffett purchased the remaining shares he didn't already own for $2.3 billion. Today GEICO is one of Berkshire Hathaway's most valuable subsidiaries and a core profit engine, generating billions annually.
Key Insight
When a great business has a temporary problem, that's the best time to buy — distinguish between permanent impairment and fixable issues.
“Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”
Warren Buffett
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See how Glen Bradford applies these principles to his own investing. Long Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac junior preferred — conviction meets patience.