Trying something new here I am just going to dictate verbally into my phone and then make a blog post out of it so here’s what I think is happening I think the back in 2014 when Lamberth ruled against shareholders on their APA claims probably Peter Wilson bribed him over dinner and or lambert just bought into the government narrative that the government went in there to save them and he didn’t question it because well obviously his interpretation of the law at the time was incorrect but so anyway on top of that you know if he would’ve ruled in favor of plaintiffs they would not necessarily Have really had a framework to get Fannie and Freddie out of conservatorship at that time like if he would’ve ruled in favor of plaintiffs well then feeling pretty would’ve been basically re-capped and released at the historical standards for what capital they needed and no real material reform would’ve been done Bill Ackman would’ve been right Fannie and pretty common shares would probably be you know $15-$25 well at like you know $10-$15 and if you factor in that at the time I don’t know if they’re double guarantee face or if that came after 2014 but so anyway you know is it was like the government back in 2014 didn’t really have a framework in place toThat they wanted to use to actually let feeling pretty out of conservatorship so like you know you had a situation where they didn’t wanna let them go and so it seem like you know Lamberton basically the subsequent judges were on board with it since then and now it’s six years later you know there’s been lots of legal rulings there was an in bank Lego ruling they basically said you know the government broke the law excited Mark Calabria three different times in Marc Calabria was a named defendant he is currently the director of Efe jefe which is the regulator Pfening Freddy they basically said you know that he took Faria which is Maria FARREA Faria firrea And so he modeled Hera HERAA delete and so because he modeled Hera after that piece of law you know that sets the standard for how to interpret Hera and then he also explained how the network sweep under mine insolvency law and so basically this in Bank Lego ruling cited the defendant on behalf of plaintiffs on three separate occasions and if you read the whole lot to talk about the statutory context and how to interpret the law and how if you interpret it the way that the government wants it interpreted it renders meaningless basically large portions of the law and how if you were and how if you look at the numerate it powers in the basic statutory context you know you’re supposed to basically read it in favor of the plaintiff and serve that was the end bank rolling out of the Collins versus Mission and that’s been appealed to the Supreme Court and so now you’re looking at the situation six years later where FHFA in treasury Cinemark Calabria and seven Manouchian they have a framework to get Fannie in for the ad conservatorship and so this framework has higher capital requirements and it also restricts the business of Fannie and Freddie and it basically fixes everything and straps them with more capital than they could ever need kind of on an unfair basis based on how much capital they can raise presumably based on conversations that they had with The financial advisors JP Morgan Morgan Stanley and Houlihan Loki as well as conversations with the company themselves Fannie and Freddie and so now the difference between a 2021 and 2014 is that you know all the pieces are in place to get Fannie ready and conservatorship except for their ability to raise capital which is impeded by the government and net worth sweep agreement which has been illegal since 2014 but back in 2014 in a few years after you know they didn’t really have a good framework for operating out of conservatorship or even getting out of conservatorship so you know the political nature of this whole basis you know now they’re working to get them a conservatorship and there’s no real mechanism to doing inAnd so now you know the courts are going to basically do what politicians are afraid to do which is the right thing and so then the Janet Yellen will come through and you know she’ll say hey you know the court say that those that were sweep is legal and so that will begin the settlement talks so basically shareholders will be vindicated when the Supreme Court affirms the end bank a PA claims in favor of the plaintiff’s and this is only been possible because of all of the work that Mark Calabria and seven Manouchian have done in order to facilitate the capital retention the final capital rule they’re gonna be finalizing liquidy requirements do you know all the steps that are necessary to get Fannie and Freddie are conservatorship they’ve been working really hardThey’ve been working really hard for two years now and all this work is coming together and now they will be able to raise third-party capital ones they resolve this third amendment net worth sweep which is the next step and that they are going to use the Supreme Court to do it because everybody in the administration doesn’t want to experience the political fallout of doing the right thing when so many people put so much time and energy into killing fan in Friday which is impossible nobody’s been able to do it no one will ever be able to do it and so now this is where we are and that’s why I what is about to happen will happen
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